If it does manage to put up those numbers this weekend, it would actually be really significant, as Black Widow has a certain aspect in its release that F9 doesn’t: the movie is going to be playing day-and-date digitally the same day it launches into theaters.
If Black Widow proves to be more popular than F9 at the box office, that would only represent a certain fraction of its overall success, as those numbers won’t account for audiences who decide to view the blockbuster on their devices.
In addition to playing on the big screen nationwide, the Marvel Cinematic Universe film will also be available via Premier Access on Disney+ (which means subscribers have to pay an additional fee to watch).