Having said that, the fact that A Star is Born has been a box office hit as well would indicate that the film is more popular with the average movie fan than your normal awards contender.
Most of the people who have seen A Star is Born probably aren’t closely following its Oscar chances.
On the one hand, people responding to a poll about the Oscar race might be more discerning than your average moviegoer.
That’s something that, at least in theory, could skew these results.